Worries continue to mount over a new Chechen guerrilla offensive led by Aslan Maskhadov. The real danger is the disruption of Russia's state owned oil pipeline system: Transneft. Russia is now the world's second largest oil exporter. Transneft's pipeline system is not only vast at ~ 49 thousand km, it is capacity limited to ~ 4 m barrels a day which means there isn't any redundancy available. Additionally, there are plentiful bottlenecks that can be exploited via global guerrilla tactics to inflict billions in economic damage (easily seen in the attached diagram). Global guerrilla tactics are the only missing ingredient (see cascading system failure and infrastructure meltdowns for more).