Book!
ISBN: 0-471-78079-0
Hardcover
208 pages
April 2007
NOTE: From the look of it, it is set up for pre-orders on Amazon.
Misha Glenny: McMafia: A Journey Through the Global Criminal Underworld (Borzoi Books)
This is a detailed backgrounder on the rise of transnational criminal groups in every region of the world. Great read!
Dmitry Orlov: Reinventing Collapse: The Soviet Example and American Prospects
Thought provoking analysis of the Soviet Union's collapse and its implications for the US.
Benerson Little: The Sea Rover's Practice: Pirate Tactics and Techniques, 16301730
Excellent review and analysis of the tactics and social structure of piracy. Separates fact from fiction.
John Arquilla: Our Own Worst Enemy: The Reluctant Transformation of the American Military
Just finished an early review copy (it's available for preorder). Excellent insight into how to revitalize the US military.
The U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual
The US military's approach to Maoist Insurgency.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
An excellent book on uncertainty. Nassim's premise is that the big events that shape the world aren't predictable. He provides ways to identify them early.
Frans Osinga: Science, Strategy and War: The Strategic Theory of John Boyd (Strategy and History Series)
An essential resource on Boyd's theory of warfare.
Mike Davis: Buda's Wagon: A Brief History of the Car Bomb
A micro-history of smart lo-tech weapons that use humans for terminal guidance.
John Robb: Brave New War
The future of global security. Available today!
Robert Young Pelton: Licensed to Kill: Hired Guns in the War on Terror
A history of the rise of the modern mercenary industry. The author provides an excellent "feel" for the current personalities and their ambitions.
Fred Charles Iklé: Annihilation from Within: The Ultimate Threat to Nations
The impact of rapidly advancing technological progress on security.
Steven Johnson: Emergence: The Connected Lives of Ants, Brains, Cities, and Software
A great overview of emergent intelligence.
Thomas P.M. Barnett: Blueprint for Action : A Future Worth Creating
Can big states survive in rapidly evolving global threat environment?
Chet Richards: Neither Shall the Sword: Conflict in the Years Ahead
Chet makes the argument for privatizing large sections of the US military and turning it into a flexible force that can respond effectively to non-state threats.
ROBERT BUNKER: Networks, Terrorism and Global Insurgency
Excellent collection of writing by some leading thinkers in 21st Century military theory. Use a corporate account to buy it (it's expensive).
Samuel P. Huntington: The CLASH OF CIVILIZATIONS AND THE REMAKING OF WORLD ORDER
Excellent overview of why global guerrilla movements are proliferating.
Francis Fukuyama: The End of History and the Last Man
Contains the assumption upon which the US is building nations in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Philip Bobbitt: Terror : Can We Win This War?
A new book, not yet released. Well worth the time based on my review of the manuscript. Preorders possible.
Moises Naim: Illicit : How Smugglers, Traffickers and Copycats are Hijacking the Global Economy
This book details the market mechanism underlying the emergence of global terrorism. It demonstrates, with excellent examples, how non-state threats are growing faster than the ability of states to respond to them. A must read.
Hakim J Hazim: American Realism Revisited : Lethal Minds & Latent Threats
A great way to gain insight into militant cults. Worth the time.
Thomas X. Hammes: The Sling and the Stone: On War in the 21st Century
Good discussion of 4th generation warfare (from the perspective of Mao and Ho). Great foundation for further study.
Robert Pape: Dying to Win : The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism
Martin Van Creveld: The Rise and Decline of the State
A detailed description of the decline of the state.
Edward Luttwak: Coup D'Etat
A practical handbook on coup d'etat. The state as a machine that can be controlled.
Anonymous: Imperial Hubris: Why the West is Losing the War on Terror
Makes the case for a broad-based global guerrilla movement.
Thomas P. M. Barnett: The Pentagon's New Map
Excellent overview of the systemic approach to this war. A must read.
George W. Allen: None So Blind: A Personal Account of the Intelligence Failure in Vietnam
Excellent book on the uses and misuses of military intelligence.
PHILIP BOBBITT: The Shield of Achilles
A seminal book on the evolution of the nation-state. A must read. It provides a path for remaking the nation-state into an organization that can survive global system perturbations.
Sean J. A. Edwards: Swarming on the Battlefield: Past, Present, and Future
Excellent overview of swarming tactics across history.
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» Get Your Book On from Haft of the Spear
You don't have to agree with him, but you most certainly should read him: John Robb that is. Click Brave New War link in Recommended Reading list (don't let the goofy Amazon listing fool you), bone up on Robb's vision [Read More]
» Everything they told you about war is wrong from The Acorn
Do you dig asymmetrical warfare?
Gary Brecher, the War Nerd (whose take on Kargil was debugged on this blog) busts a few myths about the contemporary warfare.
Ill give you the bad news first: no 21st century war is purely military.... [Read More]
Right on! When I get a copy, I'll def be reviewing it for my site.
Posted by: tim302 | Thursday, 26 October 2006 at 12:33 AM
"What's the solution? What Robb refers to as deep resilience. We need to make our economic and communication systems more decentralized. If we can't stop an attack in advance, we can mitigate it. Right now, we've left ourselves too open to attack, with all our resources too concentrated. A simple, successful attack in Saudi Arabia, Taiwan, or New York could shut down the world's oil, high-tech, or financial markets, costing millions. We have too few energy sources, too few shipping routes, too few companies making the components for all the things we need. Until Americans start seeing the world as John Robb does, we'll spend all our resources preventing the last attack, rather than the next one."
For many years, now, my MidEast policy has been "Develop solar power and get the hell out of there," which approximates John's position ( as described in the above blurb. )
For many years, now, a Manhattan Project style effort to achieve this has been indicated.
To what extent, following Iraq, the United States will retain the time and resources necessary to achieve this, is uncertain.
Frankly, given the realities of how politics works in the United States nowadays, I doubt if such a solar energy style project would be attempted anyway.
The one question which apparently John fails to address is how each of us, as individuals, might effectively respond to the Global Guerrilla challenge, notwithstanding the apparent failure of the United States to develop decentralized solar power systems or other forms of deep resilience. Is there any way that you or I or John or somebody else might develop his own deep resilience notwithstanding a general failure by society for it to develop?
Posted by: Duncan Kinder | Thursday, 26 October 2006 at 12:54 AM
Duncan, I don't advocate a Manhattan project. I do provide a framework for unlocking what you outline in the last para.
Posted by: John Robb | Thursday, 26 October 2006 at 06:10 AM
In general - if you want a new idea, read an old book: many, many older books point out that guerilla's hit valuable targets to cause as much disruption as possible. The only new thing now is that the internet has sped up their abilities to process new ideas (i.e., throw away bad ideas and iterate new ones). Also using the internet as a cheap communicants platform to organize and evangelize. Interesting how 4th gen warfare has started to look like the anarchist movement at the turn of last century.
I think that beyond 'deep resilience' the mechanism is create more loosely-coupled networks: social, energy, banking, etc.
Some things will always be centralized (especially limited physical resources), the market has found the best optimal solution. The key part is how to change the equation to drive markets to a desired behavior. In a sense we're already started this: financial groups have created 'hot' back-ups centers, banks have as well. The oil problem is starting to be solved, since the signal of high prices is driving new ideas. Tax credits are also bringing in new auto's, wind power, etc.
Congrat's on the book, looking forward to adding to the pile....
Posted by: john SCOTT | Thursday, 26 October 2006 at 05:41 PM
So, how does one get an autographed copy???
Posted by: Will | Thursday, 02 November 2006 at 02:59 AM
Get a good agent press on those Wiley guys to get a pic on their site. Almost every book has a cover and well worth more than a thousand words. CONGRATS!! I placed in a order for myself and more for my close friends who wouldn't mind having a copy for Christmas.
'Political scientists are moving away from state against state thinking, to thinking about non-state actors. Our enemies are now much smaller than that: small, ad-hoc bands of like-minded insurgents, organized less like bees in a hive than like the millions of users for Wikipedia, each with its own competing, but complementary agenda.'
Nicely said!!! Got to give them credit for being good descriptors more than i can for being writers advocates(the pic of the book!!)
Your 'Global Oil Shocks' piece may come in a a good link the not too distant future for what i'm doing. Good piece!
http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2006/10/global_oil_shoc.html
My site
http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/invest_mavin/
I've used some past, old articles of yours on the related links section.
Posted by: P- | Saturday, 04 November 2006 at 09:06 PM