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November 19, 2006

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kim

dr strangehank just said victory is impossible. carl levin wants pullout started in 6 months. mccain and graham want more troops, which would just make for more dead troops. (and dead iraqis, if that matters.)
my non-expert, noninformed-american opinion says the resident orders a pullout to be well under way within 6 months.

subadei

I don't know that we'll see straight up withdrawal. I'd suspect a phased redeployment to regional and European bases. My hope is that a good number of troops will end up in Kurdistan. If there's been one sliver of success in this war it is the galvanizing of the Kurds defacto state.
As 2008 looms closer the President will likely focus more on what history will say and less on his apparently thick headed "inability" to make mistakes. The next 23 months are, um, critical.

Fabius Maximus

Subadei --
I have a brief analysis on the "retreat to Kruistan" option. More on it in Part 2, to be posted soon after Thanksgiving.

kim

i don't believe he gives doodly about history. but he is the republican in charge. the republican candidate in 2008 will carry some of whatever flavor/odor/legacy he leaves. and what about karl's job prospects?
6 months.
redeployment to afghanistan might be nice, might even fluff him up in the history books.
?

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