What's more interesting to me is an analysis of the impact of 4GW forces on this possible war than any Kremlinology applied to the White House (even though I think I have a good feel for that). First is the effect of Hezbollah and Hamas on Israel. Second the impact of the both forks of the open source war in Iraq and the Taliban resurgence in Afghanistan on the US. As a result of a failure of both nations to find a way to successfully conclude conflicts with these forces, they are likely to blame outside states for the ENTIRETY of their predicament -- which is far from the truth, even in the case of Hezbollah. It is much easier to accept this than to conclude that all of the billions they have spent on defense is utterly useless against weak enemies like this. Eventually, the strategic grinder these non-state forces are putting Israel and the US through will result in a strike on Iran.