Like most, the nagging question I've been asking myself is "what next?" "What's the next shock going to be?"
That's a hard question, given that the horizon is filled with aspirants, made possible by a global system operating without any meaningful level of control and a "core system" that produces a torrential flow of entropy (which in hasty acts of blind self-preservation, showers everywhere without regard to the consequences).
Clearly, the next shock will come soon, and it be followed by another and another and another until the global system evolves (as opposed to develops solutions). That evolution, almost certainly organic, will be a transition to a system that is quite unlike what we have today. It will be a new dissipative structure that can operate at a low level of entropy while remaining connected (preserving the computational capacity of the system).
What does a low entropy system that can provide us with an accelerated future with a long trajectory look like?
- One that is extremely efficient at using inputs of mass, time, energy, space, and information while not losing an ability to think.
- one that can produce all of the diversity of things/services we currently produce merely through the exchange of information and raw materials, obviating the need for our grossly inefficient global middleware.
- one that is efficient enough to produce this diversity with only the energy actively produced by the sun/earth.
- one that requires little governance except at the periphery, eliminating the need for overly complex political and economic systems.
- one that stays connected to dynamically respond to rapidly changing circumstance -- parallel process decision making -- and learn at unprecedented rates.
- one that is, for all intents and purposes, immune to global shocks through scale invariance and decentralization.
Great post ! - you're not asking for much - just a sort of terraforming of a financial/scientific world in the Milky Way ?? - worthwhile but blinding - r.
Posted by: radicalc | July 21, 2009 at 01:48 PM
I'm not sure whether low entropy is really the goal if we want to create more resilience.
In biology low entropy is sometimes a sign of weakness.
http://ajpregu.physiology.org/cgi/content/abstract/283/3/R789 is a study where they determined that you can use entophy of the heart rate to detect with newborns will get neonatal sepsis.
The newborns with low entropy get ill.
Heart rate entropy is also lower when a sportler is at his maximum capaticity then when he's in a normal state.
Posted by: ChristianK | July 21, 2009 at 02:47 PM