MEXICO: The ROI (return on investment) for disruption

Saturday, 15 September 2007

MEXICO: The ROI (return on investment) for disruption

"Investment likes silence" Mexican Economy Secretary Carlos Arce on the negative impact these attacks could have on foreign direct investment (FDI) in Mexico.

New ROI estimates for the September attacks on Mexican natural gas pipelines:

Over 2,500 business will suffer severe harm in 11 of Mexico's 32 states. 1,100 companies have shut down production. Key industries impacted: Auto, glass, food, and cement. For example: Volkswagen (1,780 cars a day, 81% of which is for export).
Revised estimate of $200 million a day in costs.
Impact expected to last for a week.

ROI for an attack that cost less than estimated $10,000 to accomplish? Rough estimate: 1.4 million percent. Welcome to modern war.

Posted at 07:22 AM | Permalink

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On Brave New War

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Robb has written an important book that every policymaker should read -- Glenn Reynolds (Instapundit)
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Without reservation Brave New War is for professional students of irregular warfare and for any citizen who wants to understand emerging trends and the dark potential of 4GW -- Frank Hoffman
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Robb correctly finds the antidote to 4GW not in Soviet-style state structures such as the Department of Homeland Security, but in decentralization -- William Lind (the father of 4th generation warfare).
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