[The torch relay is] “really giving a focus to groups like ours around the world for the next three months.” Paul Bourke, an officer with the Australian Tibet Council to the NYTimes.
A global pro-Tibet protest movement has emerged. Its main focus is to protest the route of the Olympic torch as it makes its way to Beijing. An ancillary focus has been on the corporate sponsors of the torch relay (Coca-Cola and Samsung), although the pressure applied to date has been tepid.
The pro-Tibet movement/protest still isn't an open source insurgency since it is still too amorphous. For example, while the enemy (the Chinese government) is clear, the goal (to coerce China into easing its crackdown on Tibet) needs substantial refinement since it is too narrow. If it was more expansive, it could attract participants like the Falun Gong and other dissident groups. Worse, there still hasn't been a clear demonstration of the potential for success for any possible goal. If the movement continues on its current path, it will dissipate by the end of the spring.
This could change very quickly though. A single subgroup's actions could recast this movement/protest into a powerful global insurgency if it provides a clear high level goal and a globally recognized demonstration of effective action (think social systempunkts).