Murky View: Common sense is always good:
If you begin to "think like a terrorist”… with all their media saavy, opportunistic abilities… his post starts to simply look like common sense.
His conclusion? Another 9/11 is not likely… but it’s a black swan, so it would be completely unpredictable by definition anyway… he sees the terrorists using tactics that we have seen employed around the world, in Iraq, Russia, in Nigeria. These attacks will be against infrastructure. Oil, natural gas, and electrical hubs and infrastructure. There are thousands of miles of unprotected pipeline and grids in North America that could be attacked without anyone seeing anything. This would make finding the culprits much more difficult… and also require for less in the way of supplies.
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