The Black Swan

Very cool. Nassim Taleb is sending me an early copy of his next book entitled, The Black Swan. Unfortunately, I can't talk about it until April 17th. I still think there is an interesting and potentially very lucrative intersection between his work, my work, and hedge fund quant techniques.

Comments

[tdl]

John,
I think there is quite a bit of an intersection. Much of the quant modeling is limited to a very small set of assumptions and is limited in its outlook. You have done very much in adding much of the context and articulating the asymmetric and random occurrences that effect the ability of nations (and individuals) to defend themselves. I think Taleb has done a great job in demolishing much of neo-classical assumptions in Finance (just as you have done quite a bit good work on demolishing neo-conservative assumptions in defense policy.) Now if you both added a little Mises to your analysis, I think something really profound would occur ;-) Can't wait to get both yours and Taleb's book.

Regards,
TDL